By Joy Wiltermuth and William Watts
U.S. stocks swooned Thursday, with signs of panic selling emerging as the Dow and Nasdaq booked their worst daily drops since 2020, a day after the Federal Reserve delivered a widely expected interest rate increase.
On Wednesday, the Dow surged 932 points, or 2.8%, while the S&P 500 soared 3% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 3.2%. The S&P 500's gain was the largest one-day advance since May 18, 2020.
What drove markets
Signs of panic selling on Wall Street set in Thursday, a day after a rally was sparked when Fed Chairman Jerome said the central bank wasn't likely to hike its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points at its next meeting.
While the comment immediately sent stocks higher Wednesday and the dollar and Treasury yields lower, an entirely different scene unfolded Thursday.
"It's really ugly," said Kent Engelke, chief economic strategist at Capitol Securities Management, by phone. "There was no place to hide."
Engelke attributed the sharp selloff to fears that Powell might have been too dovish on the short-term pace of rate hikes over the next few months. "The fear is the Fed is falling behind on inflation pressures, and will be more draconian in the future."
But the worst of the pain might not yet be over. "It's conceivable the S&P 500 needs to establish a bottom in this 3,850 to 4,000 range," said John Lynch, chief investment officer for Comerica Wealth Management, in emailed comments.
Powell all but promised consecutive 50 basis rate hikes, saying it would take a cooling of red-hot inflation or a deteriorating jobs market for the Fed to slow down the pace of rate increases, and even then only by 25 basis point increments.
"There was perhaps of bit of an overextrapolation of what Powell said in terms of not actively considering 75-basis-point hikes. When in reality, the Fed is going to do what it has to do to get inflation down," said Michael Reynolds, vice president of investment strategy at Glenmede, by phone.
Reynolds also said the central bank's plan to shrink its near $9 trillion balance sheet, starting in June, also "isn't something to be ignored," particularly if the economy, as he suspects, is entering the late-stage of an expansion.
U.S. Treasury yields jumped Thursday, with the rate on the 10-year note rise to 3.066%, its highest since Nov. 2018. Rising yields are a negative for technology and other growth stocks in particular, cutting the present value of the future earnings and cash flow their valuations are based upon.
"We are still not out of the woods yet, as there is still too much uncertainty over how the Federal Reserve's actions will tame inflation without causing a recession," said Zach Stein, chief investment officer at the Carbon Collective, an investment advisor based in Berkeley, Calif., in emailed comments.
"Investors are trying to figure out the proper valuation of the broader stock market, particularly the technology sector, given the Federal Reserve's withdrawal of stimulus from the economy," he wrote.
Technology giants fell even harder Thursday than the main equity indexes, with Facebook parent Meta Platforms Inc. (FB) shares shedding 6.8%, Apple Inc. (AAPL) 5.6%, Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) 4.4%, Google parent Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) 4.7% , while shares of Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) tumbled 7.6%, according to FactSet.
Read: Wild swings in stocks, bonds offer taste of more to come on outside risk that U.S. inflation keeps getting hot
Meanwhile, data showed first-time U.S. jobless claims rose 19,000 last week to 200,000. U.S. productivity fell at a 7.5% annual rate in the first quarter, the biggest drop since 1947. Unit-labor costs jumped at an 11.6% annual pace in the first quarter.
Companies in focus
How did other assets perform?
--Steve Goldstein contributed reporting to this article.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 05, 2022 16:44 ET (20:44 GMT)
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